Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

The Game Theorists
33 029 عدد المشاهدات 3.5 مليون
ألعاب فيديو

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of ARdrink centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman


  1. Dragon2008Gamer
    11 دقائق قبل

    Not Minecraft one dood onesix Minecraft one dood sixteen!

  2. Reaper Z
    Reaper Z
    13 دقائق قبل

    So many people are saying: "Oh but it's IMPOSSIBLE to prove that dream 100% cheated! And thus I believe that he didn't!" In the comment section, as if this is the conclusion that MatPat concluded. Dude, with that kind of argument, people can say "I got struck by lightning 100x in a row and survived, and since you can't 100% proove that I cheated, it clearly means that I didn't". It's heavily flawed logic, it's really just objectively wrong.

  3. Nightcloud36
    15 دقائق قبل

    I gotta admit, I absolutely love Dream and I can admit that he probably did cheat though I nervous about saying I like him because everyone is just going to say I'm a Dream stan. I'm not, I like him for everything else he does that doesn't correspond with his speed runs. It's messed up that he didn't admit to cheating if he did (which is quite likely) but everyone has done at least one stupid thing and not admitted to it. Why can't we appreciate the other things he does instead like the SMP? I'm just not going to watch his speed runs but I'll watch his other things. Dream is a great youtuber and he shouldn't be defined by this flaw- Just my thoughts, everyone is entitled to their own opinions! ^^

  4. HhsduOP
    16 دقائق قبل

    Matpat got 8th on trending noice

  5. bruh
    17 دقائق قبل

    My kemistry teacher is really good

  6. Nathan Le
    Nathan Le
    18 دقائق قبل

    So did dream cheat ?

  7. Danielle Scorgie
    Danielle Scorgie
    20 دقائق قبل

    If people want to run the category, they can. "This category is bad." is a weird conclusion.

  8. Itsuki Cheng
    Itsuki Cheng
    21 دقائق قبل

    If everyone had the same seed to do during the same tournament it would be good that’s what Rubik’s cube tournaments do

  9. Nightmare
    22 دقائق قبل

    I honestly don’t care if he cheated or not. I’m sick of the drama. It’s so annoying.

  10. MUTANT15
    23 دقائق قبل

    I have a question that still in my head, what about the top three or five players that are better then dreams speedrun how come no one talks about them and they only blame dream and even analyze if his speedrun is not cheating instead of the top 1 player? Edit: hope you can answer this matpat if not who will, Im not saying the top players are cheating, im saying why they where never talked about.

    1. Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
      Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
      20 دقائق قبل

      they are not talked about becuse they did not cheat, dream was not talked about (in seans of speadrunning) becuse he did not cheat

  11. gami boss
    gami boss
    24 دقائق قبل

    Hey matpat what is Multy player in minecraft? Is it the time before the wither or is it the future. A future where Steve dint fight the ender dragon and make a family?

  12. Cody Crew
    Cody Crew
    24 دقائق قبل

    Flipping a coin ten times and getting 7+ heads

  13. InstantBrainwave
    27 دقائق قبل

    Thanks for creating such great video and they are amazing and wonderful. I love the brainwave music and hope more people can enjoy it too.

  14. tina and Elly
    tina and Elly
    27 دقائق قبل

    So post teen mean and adopt me yes Roblox adopt me Roblox is a game but matpat keeps talking about everything else ;-;

  15. LodanSD
    28 دقائق قبل

    If you look at Speedruns for Zelda Wind Waker, you would notice that people have figured out how to assess certain values in order to guarantee a specific result for Rupee Drops, maybe he's figured out the proper dance to bend NPCs to his will

  16. Zi Xiong
    Zi Xiong
    30 دقائق قبل

    did dream cheat? mat: well let's talk about the purpose and meaning of speedrunning.

  17. Anthony Valencia
    Anthony Valencia
    31 دقائق قبل

    *roasts yt trending tab* *is #2 on yt trending tab*

    1. Valmerix
      31 دقائق قبل

      might wanna change ur picture

  18. ReflexivoArco
    32 دقائق قبل

    Who say ,, Minecraft one point one six'' instead ,,Minecraft one sixteen''?

  19. BeepDuck
    32 دقائق قبل

    idk about the quiz thing, because in the first one there only needs to be 2 abnormalities (outside of expected results) whereas in the second there needs to be 10, but it is a lot less likely to get perfect normalities in the second one because it is one number out of 100 possibilities. This is probably all wrong cos i know nothing about probability but i’m just writing my thought process.

    1. BeepDuck
      31 دقائق قبل

      i was almost right

  20. ichi1082
    33 دقائق قبل

    I'm so sorry I have to say it like that but your take towards the end is the worst you could possibly have. The category exists because the community wants it to exist, people run it. No one is forcing Dream to run a category he perceives as broken and instead of cheating he could have just chosen to, uhm, I don't know.. just not run it?

  21. Ivy Oh
    Ivy Oh
    34 دقائق قبل

    Dream Minecraft; will this finally be the milkable topic to replace the endless stream of fnaf game theory videos? Lol probably not.

  22. Brown Magic
    Brown Magic
    34 دقائق قبل

    So what i got from this is at the end of the day math and statistics can really only give a "its very unlikely, but not impossible" type of answer to things

  23. MelecieDiancie
    39 دقائق قبل

    what i came for: info that may make dream innocent what i learned: celeste room randomizer should be a speedrun

    1. MelecieDiancie
      20 دقائق قبل

      @levi Ackerman i do know that, i've seen the responses of the mod team, dream, ant, karl, mfb, and this and reasons why dream cheated heavily outweigh the counterresponses. i'm just here to see if there would be arguments for dream and any counterresponses to those, as i like to take both sides' arguments

    2. levi Ackerman
      levi Ackerman
      36 دقائق قبل

      Dream cheated face it the guy dream hired told that the drop rates were modified intentionally​ or unintentionally

  24. Thanos
    40 دقائق قبل

    Analysis but the ysis is silent

  25. Honey_ tea
    Honey_ tea
    40 دقائق قبل

    18:52 who else thought that the blue side is bigger then the red side???

  26. Johann Alyosha Van Tassel
    Johann Alyosha Van Tassel
    41 دقائق قبل

    everyone: wants to know if dream cheated matpat: *heres a document preparation software called Latex*

  27. Ian Michael
    Ian Michael
    43 دقائق قبل

    23:30 seconds to not answer the question and say Minecraft shouldn’t have a record board for speed running. Yes the record board made him cheat

  28. Cryptic Corgi
    Cryptic Corgi
    44 دقائق قبل

    8:20 *_It is the first option is more likely._* Being correct _7 out of 10_ times is *7/10.* But _60 out of 100_ is *6/10.*

  29. ichigo kurosaki
    ichigo kurosaki
    44 دقائق قبل

    Listen the king's sacrifice is the best chess move in the history of humanity No one care about dream cheating

  30. Jack Of Astora
    Jack Of Astora
    45 دقائق قبل

    Actual answer: Yes The answer we got: And that’s why tf2 is a bad game. Wait what video is this again?

  31. Arbiter
    47 دقائق قبل


    1. Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
      Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
      18 دقائق قبل

      yes dream cheated

  32. Crypter Coder
    Crypter Coder
    47 دقائق قبل

    Matpat could you do a video about the scps

  33. Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000
    Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000
    47 دقائق قبل

    Okay random statement but robert do be sounding like Saiki K and kyo ifykyk

  34. Khawar Parvez
    Khawar Parvez
    49 دقائق قبل

    So did he cheat?

  35. Elliot Manley
    Elliot Manley
    50 دقائق قبل

    Jewelry me ñø

  36. Jaguario
    51 دقائق قبل

    as a speedrunner myself, i have no problem with a speedrun being based around luck. Many games have to be speedrun that way and still are. Peoplespeedrun those games because they enjoy it and there's no point contesting the way that games are speedrun if people enjoy it. but that competitive speedrunning thing would be really cool

  37. Jose Pio
    Jose Pio
    51 دقائق قبل

    how did he predict it would go to the ARdrink trending tab he is a wizard

  38. Honey_ tea
    Honey_ tea
    52 دقائق قبل

    8:20 ide say the first option becouse when you flip a coin 10 times to get heads in 7 times is like flipping a coin 100 times to get 70 heads there is no differences in there the only difference is that the second option is more specific

  39. stephane pasquer
    stephane pasquer
    52 دقائق قبل


  40. Orange Sl1me
    Orange Sl1me
    53 دقائق قبل

    My answer for the question around 8:30 is that neither of them are more likely, their both 50/50 because no matter how many times you flip a coin the outcome come will always be either heads or tails. Thank you for listening to my ted talk. Edit: I just realised what the question was......

  41. Sean French
    Sean French
    53 دقائق قبل

    60 heads

  42. Callan Wesson
    Callan Wesson
    54 دقائق قبل


  43. Razgy Mic
    Razgy Mic
    54 دقائق قبل

    The amount of work in this video is insane

  44. DS .V
    DS .V
    54 دقائق قبل

    Mr beast is buying the whole store in the background lol

  45. jose Homshaw
    jose Homshaw
    55 دقائق قبل


    56 دقائق قبل

    9:55 #4 on trending *face palms*

  47. ehehehrhehr no
    ehehehrhehr no
    57 دقائق قبل

    matpat makes fun of yt trending page matpat ends up on trending

  48. Natlibuz
    57 دقائق قبل

  49. lil zerkso
    lil zerkso
    58 دقائق قبل

    All your videos makes me think hard and am intrigued

  50. MainZ
    ساعات قبل

    This video is on the ARdrink trending tab 😂

  51. InfoBlues
    ساعات قبل

    I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

  52. 31-Rishit Jain
    31-Rishit Jain
    ساعات قبل

    I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

  53. Dosant
    ساعات قبل

    This is your most lazy video yet Mat, you literally didnt add anything or answer the question in YOUR TITLE OF THE VIDEO. Disappointing.

  54. Ragib Nihal Tonmoy
    Ragib Nihal Tonmoy
    ساعات قبل

  55. ZeGamerWolf
    ساعات قبل

    Where is the last Petscop theory???????

  56. Eagle Power
    Eagle Power
    ساعات قبل

    so dream is just some luck god, okay.

  57. DonutLover Gaming
    DonutLover Gaming
    ساعات قبل

    I would like my own minecraft speedrunner monkey

  58. Clarissa M
    Clarissa M
    ساعات قبل

    I love the conclusion.

  59. CandyPop
    ساعات قبل

    My question is WHY would they make speedrunning a big competition? Like it’s just gonna start drama (for example: the Dream drama) AND who cares! Speedrunning should be made for fun! Not something that should be taken very seriously! It’s like a middle school gym sport fight of “OH BRUHHH WE COULD HAVE WON!!!” “BRUHHH THEY CHEATED” “BRUHHH YOU SUCK” Like- Dudes- Chill- Please-

    1. CandyPop
      15 دقائق قبل

      @yunus ahmet yılmaz ohhh! Oh nonononono I was talking to the people who make speedrunning a big competitive thing like middle schoolers in gym fighting. My apologies, misread that. Speedrunning actually looks fun to do! It’s just I don’t like that people would make such a big deal over it (And cause drama) (Also it’s 6:55 am for me and I haven’t slept AT ALL yea again my apologies)

    2. yunus ahmet yılmaz
      yunus ahmet yılmaz
      25 دقائق قبل

      @CandyPop you didn't just say what you tought about speedrunnig you spat on people who speedrun because your fetus head can't understand their motivations

    3. CandyPop
      33 دقائق قبل

      @yunus ahmet yılmaz wow can I not say what I just think about the speedrunning situation? Wow I’m so hurt •- •

    4. yunus ahmet yılmaz
      yunus ahmet yılmaz
      ساعات قبل

      Why would they make marathon competitive either its like just swim for fun no need for competitive smh.... This is how you sound

  60. LoZTwilight
    ساعات قبل

    Well that was an utter waste of time, how did this get 238k likes. it's beating around the bush for 75% of the video..

  61. Don RUBIX
    Don RUBIX
    ساعات قبل

    Buuuh Dream 🤮🤮 im 1 mllion times better than him at Minecraft ‼️🤌

  62. Frack YT
    Frack YT
    ساعات قبل

  63. TheHockyeBox
    ساعات قبل

    I know this is a pointless detail but you should express percent numbers as rounded up and not just show the first two decimal places, the probability of getting >51% heads with 10000 tosses is sum k=0 to 4900 (10000 choose 5100+k) * 2^(-10000) = 0.0232928 otherwise good video

  64. • Violet Dumplings •
    • Violet Dumplings •
    ساعات قبل

    It really did get on the ARdrink trending tab- damn.

  65. Patricks
    ساعات قبل

    do a genshin impact theory

  66. Clint McGill
    Clint McGill
    ساعات قبل

    I can hear one of my cs professors saving "it's not pronounced the same as latex the material..."

  67. Queen Pendragon
    Queen Pendragon
    ساعات قبل

    Fantastic editing as usual! Lol also thanks for the math lesson, Mat, I don't know that I needed it or that it'll stick, but for the moment I feel smarter!

  68. Dorian Dias
    Dorian Dias
    ساعات قبل

    Lol it did end up on the ARdrink trending page

  69. Jatin sehrawat
    Jatin sehrawat
    ساعات قبل

    the thing that there were chances of it being in 1 in a 7.5 trillion but it was still feasible... and thats maths you can't connect everything with statics 7.5 trillion is just a small number when you see it in terms of how many seed are possible.. if there are broken seed possible in quadrillions and people still found them..that conditon of ender pearls and blaze rods is feasible... conclusion on my terms: even if it was 1 in a 7.5 trillion it was feasible and running 7.5 trillion simulations don't actually mean that this will happen in those 7.5 trillion because we dont have a exaact number to count from which these possibilities are possible... they made him suspect and run numbers on him... and their evidence didn't have a concrete truth it was just mere possibilities.. they didn't searched his minecraft coda... and on based on possibilities it can't be verified that he cheated.. i mean my existence in 1 in 8.9 billion but i still exist :D.. take it like that and that is for every single of person on this planet so 8.9 billion powered by 8.9 billion thats a quite large number and we still exist as a indvidual... simple high school maths.. i don't know if he cheated or not but idk it dont seem like he did

    1. yunus ahmet yılmaz
      yunus ahmet yılmaz
      ساعات قبل

      Yo stop copy pasting this on random videos. It's honestly pathetic especially considering how stupid this comment is You are sooo misinformed it isnt even funny. His chances aren't 1 in 7.5 trillion it is 1 in 20 sextillion. 1 in 7.5 trillion is the chances of Amy speedrunner ever getting as lucky as dream after accounting for biases. Secondly the chances of you being here being 8.6 billion is meaningless because the reason that number is high is completely different from this. For example winning the lottery is a very low chance but no matter what someone will win the lottery. The 8.6 billion is the nearly same as this.

  70. Crazycuko187
    ساعات قبل

    He means yes... I think..

  71. {•ShadøwZ•}
    ساعات قبل


  72. Just some steering wheel
    Just some steering wheel
    ساعات قبل

    Did dream cheat? Yes Now you don't have to watch the video which doesn't actually give you the answer

  73. Leon Almond
    Leon Almond
    ساعات قبل

    No he didn’t there ya go

  74. Magnogen
    ساعات قبل


  75. tp .y.
    tp .y.
    ساعات قبل

    please do a game theory episode on omori!

  76. Berislav Furač
    Berislav Furač
    ساعات قبل


  77. xeniabruh
    ساعات قبل


  78. Ealvarez Gaming
    Ealvarez Gaming
    ساعات قبل

    Dude why you gotta clickbait like that?

  79. Travis Sadler
    Travis Sadler
    ساعات قبل

    South African Lotto ticket :O

  80. Shrt Mato_99
    Shrt Mato_99
    ساعات قبل

    Number 1 trending lmao

  81. Michael E
    Michael E
    ساعات قبل

    I mean 7

  82. username not found
    username not found
    ساعات قبل

    Don’t waste your time he doesn’t answer the question

  83. Michael E
    Michael E
    ساعات قبل

    I meant to say 70

  84. G M P
    G M P
    ساعات قبل

    Imagine spitting on an entire community just to try save the image of one individual. How much did Dream pay?

    1. What A Weirdo
      What A Weirdo
      12 دقائق قبل

      @G M P fair enough tbh, also I stg I'm not a stan

    2. G M P
      G M P
      15 دقائق قبل

      @What A Weirdo I agree that I said the pay part just for the purposes of spicing up the comment

    3. What A Weirdo
      What A Weirdo
      25 دقائق قبل

      Imagine not looking at odds, I mean, hes just trying to explain his theory. Maybe he shouldn't have shat on speed running, but you really think that dream played him to say ehh, why speedrun?

  85. Yuki Mizuki
    Yuki Mizuki
    ساعات قبل

    No offense, mediocre content, overly edited, poorly made, click baited and you barely went over anything

  86. JamesPlayz
    ساعات قبل

  87. Simon Tracer
    Simon Tracer
    ساعات قبل

    It's ironic that with a smaller amount of times tried the numbers seem to go more probable. And I honestly missed the point if he said definitive yes he did cheat or no he did not. It seems pretty much like he said dreams luck could have been just a happenstance that was misunderstood and overreacted to. But seriously how many of those speed runs or how many Potter trades have people actually witnessed besides dreams. How lucky is as when you honestly push the numbers up on the barter trades you are guaranteed to get Pearl at some point and to the game it doesn't matter when that point is so it could just as much give you something good or not. Fun fact in Mario Bros speed run the time that you end the course on could activate a very specific end-of-level fireworks display or if you were slightly slower you would not activate that fireworks and move ahead faster. That is a built-in highly unrecognizable jump in speed unless you're looking for it.

  88. Happy Thoughts
    Happy Thoughts
    ساعات قبل

    Milking this aren't you. We need less of people like you around

  89. DJ Ling
    DJ Ling
    ساعات قبل

    Imma be honest, cheater or not, IT'S SIMPLE ENTERTAINMENT.

  90. SniffersMc
    ساعات قبل

    Finally, knowledge of latex is usefull for something other than writing a CV

  91. Josh Taylor
    Josh Taylor
    ساعات قبل

    he really do be milkin it

  92. Billy 1
    Billy 1
    ساعات قبل

    I think we all need to go outside

  93. CatGoneMad!
    ساعات قبل

    Lol it ended up on 4 trending

  94. Sceonaid Dover
    Sceonaid Dover
    ساعات قبل

    Click bait

    1. Robotboy 64x
      Robotboy 64x
      ساعات قبل

      Misleading, but clickbait? Ehhhh.... I dunno.

    2. firenox GD
      firenox GD
      ساعات قبل


  95. Masterblader158
    ساعات قبل

    Given ARdrink sets what's trending, or at least moderates it, it's no surprise that a video that mocks being on it got put on it. Good as it may force the part 2 where he actually answers the question... But Matpat has left some part 2's on the burner for years.

  96. Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
    Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
    ساعات قبل

    I got 11 ender pearls and i gave it 1 gold but 🍑 i beleave you

    1. Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
      Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
      14 دقائق قبل

      @levi Ackerman idk but it happened

    2. levi Ackerman
      levi Ackerman
      30 دقائق قبل

      stop lying an 2-4 enderpearl can only be obtained in one bartering

  97. Bruno Blake
    Bruno Blake
    ساعات قبل

    it actually is on the trending page lol

  98. Umar Amin lone BBA-29
    Umar Amin lone BBA-29
    ساعات قبل

    Son you know nothing about regression

  99. Degee Paul Sericon
    Degee Paul Sericon
    ساعات قبل

    The theorist is not real :0

  100. allison moya
    allison moya
    ساعات قبل

    Bed recognize desperate explain stretch vehicle fifteen everyone repair.